Dr. Peter's Financial Systems Blog
Dr. Peter's Financial Systems Blog
Dr. Peter's Financial Systems Blog
Dr. Peter's Financial Systems Blog
Blog Articles
  • 64. Comparison of indices DJI, S&P 500, NYSE, NASDAQ and interest rates
  • 63. Predicting the NASDAQ trend from 2016 to 2020 and the S&P 500 from 2017 to 2022
  • 62. Forecasting the NYSE and the DOW Jones Industrial for 2018 to 2022
  • 61. my letters to the prime minister during the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis
  • 60. The way forward
  • 59. Wake up Israel it is time
  • 58. The Calling of the Lord
  • 57. Congratulations President Trump on the bombing of the Syrian military base
  • 56. President Trump and the 7 muslim nations
  • 55. Cure for diabetes and neropathy nerve pain
  • 54. Thank you President Barack Obama
  • 53. Healing from ankle and knee joint pain with stem cell products.php
  • 52. Congratulations to President Trump
  • 51. Obamacare
  • 50. High cost of insurance premiums
  • 49. Past predictions and the price of gold
  • 48. Save the children
  • 47. Sino Russian world war and the end of America
  • 46. The Lord Gods blessing and generational curses and gays lesbians
  • 45. Slowing economic growth
  • 44. False teachings in the church in Malaysia
  • 43. Banking problems in Malaysia with AmBank
  • 42. Banking problems in Malaysia
  • 41. Historical-performance-of-my-commodity-price-prediction-charts
  • 40. Major changes to the earths continents to occur if Israel is divided
  • 39. Block hackers bad bots scrappers stop ddos attacks wordpress blog sites
  • 38. China starts world war 3 with rampant piracy and bullying smaller nations
  • 37. Powerful nontoxic insecticide used in my kitchen for exterminating ants
  • 36. Soybean prices forecast chart 2013 2014 2015 2016
  • 35. Palm Oil price trend prediction 2012 2013 2014
  • 34. NYSE Composite Index prediction of 2015 Bull Run
  • 33. Brent-crude-price-forecast-2012-2013-2014
  • 32. Congratulations-President-Barack-Obama
  • 31. Indian stock exchange nifty index prediction chart
  • 30. Soybean prices commodity chart prediction for day traders and others
  • 29. Huduh is not for malaysia and the errors in huduh
  • 28. My rapeseed commodity chart prediction useful for day traders and others
  • 27. Problems problems and more problems
  • 26. contact us form
  • 25. stock chart signals and price action patterns - by Steve Sollheiser
  • 24. Malaysian property prices and the property market
  • 23. Malaysian population growth and Malaysian property prices
  • 22. False teachings of the muslim terrorist
  • 21. The alternative technical analysis for commodity and stock market analysis
  • 20. Malaysian property price, bubble and crash in 2012
  • 19. The basics of stock market, forex, commodity and financial economy models
  • 18. Gold price and business opportunities
  • 17. US Economic recovery and growth part 4
  • 16. US Economic recovery and growth part 3
  • 15. Gold price forecast trend chart 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
  • 14. US Economic Recovery and Growth Part 2
  • 13. US Economic Recovery 2009 2010 2011
  • 12. How to predict gold price trend 2011 2015
  • 11. Malaysian property prices and the property bubble
  • 10. Distribution of Wealth Model and Supply and Demand
  • 9. Gold price forecast 2011 2015
  • 8. Explanation of inflation and model of inflation hyperinflation
  • 7. Approximate silver price trend prediction chart june sept 2011
  • 6. Predicting market trends predicting stock market trends gold trends silver trends
  • 5. Causes of economic crisis recession and high inflation or hyperinflation
  • 4. What is inflation and how to manage inflation
  • 3. Making sound investment decisions
  • 2. forecasting commodity and stock market trends
  • 1. Dr. Peters Loan Calculator
  •  

    The S&P 500 trend until 2022

    Having published the NYSE and DJI predictions I decided to examine the NASDAQ and the S&P 500 trends. It took me some time to do this chart. I did not expect it to be that difficult. As of today 8th February 2018 I am publishing this chart and do hope the prediction is good indication of how the S&P500 will move until 2022.

    I do not like to use the term forecasting as it sounds like an estimate and vague. I prefer to use the term predicting as I am trying to do something that hopefully is relaible, useful and clearly shows the fututre trends.


    S&P 500 trend prediction rrom 2018 to 2022
    S&P 500 trend prediction rrom 2018 to 2022
    S&P 500 trend prediction rrom 2018 to 2022
    S&P 500 trend prediction rrom 2018 to 2022


    I downloaded the data from Yahoo Finance at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history?period1=-315648000&period2=1518019200&interval=1mo&filter=history&frequency=1mo

    There is an inflationary ceiling of about 8.5% and an inflationary floor of about 8.23%. Hence the S&P 500 trend is range bound within this floor and ceiling. Should it break the ceiling the upward trend could shoot upward very quickly. Should the trend break the floor it could collapse too. Normally if the trend could not break the ceiling, it would remain range bound or take a few months to hit the floor. When that happens, the S&P 500 trend could collapse to much lower values or bounce back upward.



    The NASDAQ prediction from 2016 to 2020


    NASDAQ trend prediction 2016 to 2020
    NASDAQ trend prediction 2016 to 2020
    NASDAQ trend prediction 2016 to 2020
    NASDAQ trend prediction 2016 to 2020


    I downloaded the NASDAQ data from Yahoo Finance at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NDAQ/history?period1=-315648000&period2=1518019200&interval=1mo&filter=history&frequency=1mo.

    I had not noticed this type of trend for a very long time. The Inflationary component has been very mild or non-existent and the trend appears to be a very linear upward trend. As a result of this chart I am wondering whether I should change my equation of markets to


    M(z) = W(z) + I(z) + L(z) + N(z)

    Where L(z) is the linear component or keep it

    M(z) = W(z) + I(z) + N(z)

    Where I(z) represents both the inflationary component and the linear component.

    That is going to be a big decision as I used to joke about my equation as describing how to make money.


    M(z) =

    There are 3 components or requirements to make money. They are :-

    W(z) =

    Working capital. If you do not have sufficient working capital the business will fail easily as many times you need to pay your suppliers before your customers pay you. Rich people will say it stands for workers but with automation and AI less and less workers are required and you would need capital to purchase advanced equipment.

    I(z) =

    inventions, ideas, innovations. In a competitive world you have to be the best at what you do.

    N(z) =

    News, networks. News of potential customers, promotions and adverts. Networks are the amount of the customers who talk good about your products.

    And the most important quality is zzz that is you and your staff are not sleeping on the job.



    Examining the NASDAQ trend chart

    Coming back to the NASDAQ trend it looks like the trend will be going upward for a long time, at least until 2020. Just be wary around April 2018 and Feb 2019 where it could collapse below the floor. It is an amzing trend that I had not seen for a very long time. Watch the NASDAQ price rise for a very long time.



    A Summary of the potential falls

    Both charts show that there are occasions in the future where the trends hit the floor. If there are external shocks at about the same time it will be much easier for the trends to collapse at these points. Other then that these trends should rise for a very long time.




    This article on the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ trends was researched and written by Dr. Peter Achutha, 8th February 2018.


     





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