Dr. Peter's Financial Systems Blog
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  • 126. The three virgins
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  • 123. Fed & Worldwide interest rate hikes
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  • 121. Disaster in Europe and the end of Ukraine Russia war
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  • 98. how to overclock cpu with technology that has not been invented yet
  • 97. vaccine lobby conspiracy theory the coming worldwide economic depression
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  • 95. Letters to President Barack Obama during the great recession of 2008
  • 94. The Cedar of Lebanon is falling. Internet fake news fraud scams and pseudo communist social media companies
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  • 87. a potential cure for Covid-19 virus
  • 86. President Trump a potential cure for Covid-19 virus
  • 85. President Trump the effects of the corona virus on the US economy
  • 84. A sad prophecy for Malaysia
  • 83. You are a hero President Trump
  • 82. do not make paul into a god and misunderstanding the laws of Moses.
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  • 73. open letter to Sundar Pichai, Sergey Brin & Mark Zuckerberg on proxies, caches and ip addresses
  • 72. open letter to Sundar Pichai, Sergey Brin & Mark Zuckerberg on auctions
  • 71. the tyranny of the turks
  • 70. formulae for Pythagoras Theorem
  • 69. A parallel processing theorem for machine and robotics control
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  • 63. Comparison of indices DJI, S&P 500, NYSE, NASDAQ and interest rates
  • 62. Predicting the NASDAQ trend from 2016 to 2020 and the S&P 500 from 2017 to 2022
  • 61. Forecasting the NYSE and the DOW Jones Industrial for 2018 to 2022
  • 60. my letters to the prime minister during the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis
  • 59. The way forward
  • 58. Wake up Israel it is time
  • 57. The Calling of the Lord
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  • 55. President Trump and the 7 muslim nations
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  • 48. Past predictions and the price of gold
  • 47. Save the children
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  • 45. The Lord Gods blessing and generational curses and gays lesbians
  • 44. Slowing economic growth
  • 43. False teachings in the church in Malaysia
  • 42. Banking problems in Malaysia with AmBank
  • 41. Banking problems in Malaysia
  • 40. Historical-performance-of-my-commodity-price-prediction-charts
  • 39. Major changes to the earths continents to occur if Israel is divided
  • 38. Block hackers bad bots scrappers stop ddos attacks wordpress blog sites
  • 37. China starts world war 3 with rampant piracy and bullying smaller nations
  • 36. Powerful nontoxic insecticide used in my kitchen for exterminating ants
  • 35. Soybean prices forecast chart 2013 2014 2015 2016
  • 34. Palm Oil price trend prediction 2012 2013 2014
  • 33. NYSE Composite Index prediction of 2015 Bull Run
  • 32. Brent-crude-price-forecast-2012-2013-2014
  • 31. Congratulations-President-Barack-Obama
  • 30. Indian stock exchange nifty index prediction chart
  • 29. Soybean prices commodity chart prediction for day traders and others
  • 28. Huduh is not for malaysia and the errors in huduh
  • 27. My rapeseed commodity chart prediction useful for day traders and others
  • 26. Problems problems and more problems
  • 25. stock chart signals and price action patterns - by Steve Sollheiser
  • 24. Malaysian property prices and the property market
  • 23. Malaysian population growth and Malaysian property prices
  • 22. False teachings of the muslim terrorist
  • 21. The alternative technical analysis for commodity and stock market analysis
  • 20. Malaysian property price, bubble and crash in 2012
  • 19. The basics of stock market, forex, commodity and financial economy models
  • 18. Gold price and business opportunities
  • 17. US Economic recovery and growth part 4
  • 16. US Economic recovery and growth part 3
  • 15. Gold price forecast trend chart 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
  • 14. US Economic Recovery and Growth Part 2
  • 13. US Economic Recovery 2009 2010 2011
  • 12. How to predict gold price trend 2011 2015
  • 11. Malaysian property prices and the property bubble
  • 10. Distribution of Wealth Model and Supply and Demand
  • 9. Gold price forecast 2011 2015
  • 8. Explanation of inflation and model of inflation hyperinflation
  • 7. Approximate silver price trend prediction chart june sept 2011
  • 6. how to predict stock and commodity trends
  • 5. Causes of economic crisis recession and high inflation or hyperinflation
  • 4. What is inflation and how to manage inflation
  • 3. Making sound investment decisions
  • 2. forecasting commodity and stock market trends
  • 1. Dr. Peters Loan Calculator
    « Problems problems and more problems
    Seek the truth and the truth will set you free. Tell the truth and the truth will set others free.
    - Dr. Peter Achutha, September 2009
    Huduh is not for malaysia and the errors in huduh »

    Rapeseed price trend useful for day traders and others

    I had tried to predict the price trend of rapeseed even though I do not know anything about rapeseed.  I have never tracked the price movement or the news on rapeseed. I do not know much about the planting of rapeseed and manufacture of rapeseed oil and related products. I do not know where the main demand comes from and what the competition is or what are the substitute products.  So this rapeseed price trend prediction was done blind – purely based upon historical prices. This prediction was done in October 2009 with data earlier than 2009. You will notice that I tried to predict the price trend of rapeseed from 2007 until 2012. This is to give me a feel of whether my prediction trends are reasonable.

    I do need to inform you that my prediction charts were created using once a month closing price. That is I took the last closing price for a month to represent that month. This is sufficient pricing information to project price trends many months or many years into the future. The rapeseed price chart generated using weekly data. And this was the reason I could not put both price trends into one chart to make comparison easier.  It meant that I could not line up both trends to show if there was a shift to the right or left of the actual price trend when compared to the prediction trend and it makes it difficult to determine where the individual predicted price is close to the actual price.

    Rapeseed predicted price price vs actual price trend

    rapeseed price trend prediction
    rapeseed price trend prediction
    rapeseed price trend prediction
    rapeseed price trend prediction

    Explanation of the rapeseed price trend commodity chart

    You will notice that I predicted two peaks in the price of rapeseed. One of which occurred in 2008 and the other was expected to occur in 2012, which is about 2 to 3 years from the date of the prediction. These prediction charts are in my book “ Market Theories and Predicting the Stock Market by Visual Inspection” which was first printed in November 2009.

    austerity measures austerity drive

    It appears that the second peak was muted due to the European Recession and austerity measures. Personally, I think that the austerity measures were bad medicine for the European Union. When people take poison they will get sicker. Actually, politicians and economist have to be very careful as to what medicine they prescribe during which period or phase of recession or recovery. Bad medicine is difficult to swallow and has many bad side effects and very few benefits.

    You will notice that in October 2009, my rapeseed prediction chart showed that I was expecting the price of rapeseed to reach 500 by 2012. It looks like it did reach that price target. 

    My prediction techniques

    I am not one for predicting actual prices for a certain date but more for predicting the shape of the price trend curve. It appears that when you apply all of my theory, your predicted price can closely reflect the actual price.

    Uses of price trend prediction charts

    If you were a day trader you could have taken advantage of the rapeseed price rally that occurred in 2010 to 2012. You could have avoided trading in rapeseed in late 2009 to early 2010 when the market was generally sideways.

    I am publishing my charts on my website to show how my original 2009 commodity chart price trend predictions turned out. And I do hope these charts to show that commodities are predictable to some degree provided that governments and major players do not try to negate the predictions. Furthermore what the charts do show is the real demand for rapeseed in the European Union has prevented the price from falling in 2012. The price of rapeseed did collapse around November 1998 due to the Asian Financial Crisis. This price collapse, I believe, was due to the sudden devaluations in the South East Asian currencies making oils from these countries ridiculously cheap.  Rapeseed prices have been slowly recovering since 1998 and have got back to their pre-1998 price levels.

    The most important thing about these charts is the general or overall trend which can be used to guide your day trading activity, costing and production planning and other financial activities years in advance.

    More Commodity Charts

    9. Soybean prices forecast chart 2013 2014 2015 2016 (20 Janury 2013)

    8. Palm Oil price trend prediction 2012 2013 2014 (14 Janury 2013)

    7. Brent Crude price forecast 2012 2013 2014 (12 December 2012)

    6. Soybean prices commodity chart prediction for day traders and others (10 October 2012)

    5. My rapeseed commodity chart prediction useful for day traders and others (17 September 2012)

    4. Gold price and business opportunities<\/a> (7 September 2011)

    3. Gold price forecast trend chart 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (31 August 2011)

    2. Gold price forecast 2011 2015  (15 July 2011, updated 18 July 2011)

    1. Approximate silver price trend prediction chart june sept 2011  (9 July 2011)

    -Dr.Peter Achutha, 17th September 2012 by

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